A multiplicative model for assessing the effectiveness of the anti-corruption mechanism under wartime conditions

Abstract

Abstract: The purpose of the article is to formalize the anti-corruption mechanism as a sequential institutional system and to develop a model for assessing its integral effectiveness under wartime conditions, taking into account the impact of wartime risk. The study also substantiates directions for strengthening the institutional role of financial intelligence in ensuring the economic security of the state. The research is based on a systems approach, functional modeling, elements of reliability and risk theory, structural-logical analysis, and the comparative legal method to assess institutional interaction within the anti-corruption mechanism. The formalization is implemented through the construction of a multiplicative model of integral effectiveness incorporating a wartime risk coefficient and an institutional sensitivity parameter. The anti-corruption mechanism is interpreted as a system of sequential transformations in which financial intelligence performs the function of an analytical core, reducing uncertainty and forming the basis for subsequent procedural decisions. The expediency of multiplicative aggregation of institutional effectiveness is substantiated, and a wartime risk coefficient with an institutional sensitivity parameter is introduced. Directions for institutional and regulatory improvement of financial intelligence are systematized with the aim of enhancing coherence within the anti-corruption chain and reducing its vulnerability under wartime pressure. The proposed formalized approach enables quantitative assessment of anti-corruption effectiveness and identification of critical points for institutional strengthening. Under wartime conditions, financial intelligence acquires an expanded functional role, transforming from a financial monitoring instrument into a structural component of the state’s economic security system.